Sports playing can be quite profitable if you know the tricks typically the “smart money” gamblers make use of to consistently make dollars. One of the greatest secrets that intelligent money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT to bet.
Here’s a great example of this. I analyzed the particular Western world Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Virginia had often the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also recognized that there initially were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not bet on this particular game. Here is my own analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This activity features all the indications of being one regarding the most effective games associated with the year, using each teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 positioned West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with Western Virginia coming back from being down massive in the independence day fraction to winning inside overtime, however,.
So what’s the action seem like this year?
In case this sport were appearing played on some sort of natural field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since this game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. They will haven’t lost considering July. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Inside the last two conditions they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 ROUTE games.
These kind of are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the extra reward is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like significantly, but in a close match-up such as this, that special point will make the big difference between a new push together with a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are really almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own previous 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS inside their previous 10 home games.
And if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since Dec 16, 2003! During this current run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points each game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. seven points for each game in home. In case anyone didn’t do the math concepts, that means considering their own last home reduction they’ve averaged beating their opposing team by means of about thirty four items per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten the particular pass on, on average, by way of 13 factors per activity at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can a person go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Nearly all of those stats were being established during the 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to excellent than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they are yet to only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These activities weren’t against Iowa Saint. or Michigan. They have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
In essence that this is still a new close sport to contact. Yet what I look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If 승무패 , Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no cause to think WVU can’t hold them to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off that game and definitely not wager at all. There happen to be better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut positive aspects.
The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back a new punt for a TD. The bottom line was the fact that West Virginia’s fringe weren’t so big that they could very well still win right after producing so many mistakes. By not betting on this sport, people serious with regards to sports betting saved money many people can offer better make use of on upcoming games.